Nasdaq 100 Forecast – Bulls are in control, but heavy resistance awaits
The Nasdaq 100 continues to extend its reversal after easing the fair value gap during the fourth half, with buyers regaining structure and breaking above the 24,931 breakout level. This represents the strongest bullish follow-through since the last decline.
Risk appetite is slowly returning, yields are falling, and overall uncertainty is subsiding – allowing highly technical indicators to breathe again. The next battlefield now lies in 25,284This is the level that has historically capped upward momentum.
A confirmed break above that area opens the next destination: 26000It is a psychological and artistic landmark that aligns with the broader bullish reading.
Key Narrative – What is Fueling the Nasdaq Move?
1. Risk appetite improves before the release of key US data
Markets are shifting back to growth-heavy assets as they wait for US economic signals. Softer data forecasts are supportive for technology, especially when risk sentiment is neutral to positive.
2. US Treasury bond yields decline
Lower yields reduce valuation pressure on long-term technology stocks. This week’s moderation in 10-year and 2-year bond yields gave the Nasdaq market a new breathing space.
3. Activate the demand zone for four hours
Strong reaction from 24,450-24,525 The fair value gap in H4 was the clearest sign of bullish intent. This area now represents the trend reversal confirmation zone – the key support area that must hold for any continuation towards it 26000.
The main driver behind the Nasdaq’s continued bullish potential
The biggest catalyst behind Nasdaq’s momentum is… Increasing probability of dovish tone in December from the Fed. With the delayed release of inflation data and the decline in demand indicators, the market is quietly turning towards the idea of possible easing.
This fuels the Nasdaq index higher in several ways:
1. Expectations of interest rate cuts are slowly increasing
Technology stocks thrive when yields fall.
Pessimistic shift → cheaper money → higher valuations → stronger Nasdaq.
This alone can lead to a sustained rise for several weeks.
2. Liquidity conditions are improving
Persistent delays in economic reporting have reduced the policy noise. When liquidity conditions stabilize, technology indices tend to outperform sharply.
3. The return of technical leadership
AI, cloud and semiconductor flows remain strong. Markets are poised to move back into future growth sectors – a classic sign of an early trend reversal.
4. Markets determine the price of the future, not the present
Investors are looking to the first quarter of 2026 and beyond.
If the macro backdrop indicates easing conditions, the declines will continue to be defended.
This forward-looking optimism is the main reason why the Nasdaq’s break above 24,931 carries real conviction — and why. 26000 It is now a realistic upside target, not a stretch forecast.
Technical outlook
The price has regained its structure, confirming the bullish reversal:
- Taking advantage of the fair value gap H4.
- Strong displacement.
- Break above 24,931.
- Strong continuation towards 25,284.
The uptrend remains intact while the 24,525 level remains stable.
Bullish scenario
Upside is still preferred 24,525 Acts as the main support.
Conditions for continuation
- Retesting is acceptable 24,931.
- Momentum remains above the trend line structure.
- The overall tone remains neutral to positive.
Upside goals
- Immediate goal: 25,284.
- Above that: 25,500.
- Main upside target: 26000.
A clean candle body near the top 25,284 The door opens towards 26000.
Bearish scenario
Rejected at 25,284 It could lead to a deeper corrective pullback.
Bearish triggers
- A sharp rejection of the ceiling of resistance
- Break it down again below 24,931
- to fail 24,525 As the demand area
Negative goals
- 24800
- 24,525 (Critical Invalidation Zone)
- Below it opens 24,300 – 24,200
Losing 24,525 invalidates the path to 26000.
Final thoughts
The structure of the NASDAQ is bullish, the overall background is slowly improving, and the reaction from the H4 demand zone is clear and decisive. The key now is 25,284 roof. Break and hold over it – and 26000 Become the next major destination.
